Daily Briefing — For The Tenant's Side

The Occupier View.

ISSUE NO. 002 · MONDAY 6 JULY 2026 · 07:15 LONDON · PUBLISHED EACH WEEKDAY MORNING

MARKET PULSE — RATES, MARKETS & OCCUPANCY

01 — M&A · Aviation

Castlelake agrees a £5.2bn take-private of easyJet.

Confirmed 5 July: Castlelake's stake is capped at 49% under airline ownership rules, with a decision due by 3 August. Completion would take Britain's biggest budget carrier off the FTSE 250.

THE TENANTSIDE VIEW

New owners inherit a property book, not just an airline — landing slots, a headquarters, a Holidays division. Occupiers linked to an aviation group mid-buyout should watch for break clauses being tested, not assume business as usual.

SOURCE: AIRLIVE · 5 JULY 2026

02 — Industrial · Supply

SEGRO strikes a £3bn logistics joint venture with PSP.

Confirmed 1 July: the 50:50 venture develops big-box parks at Radlett, Coventry and Northampton, seeded with 225,000 sq m of let space.

THE TENANTSIDE VIEW

This is tomorrow's big-box supply being underwritten today, on exactly the corridor sites logistics occupiers fight over. A well-capitalised venture means competing space — and leverage — arrives sooner than current availability suggests. Get onto the pre-let list now for 2027-28 requirements.

SOURCE: BE NEWS · 1 JULY 2026

03 — Retail · Restructuring

A court-approved rescue plan cuts landlord rents across TG Jones' 150 closing stores.

The High Court sanctioned the plan on 1 July, writing off supplier debts and cutting rent for many landlords. The chain shrinks from 451 stores to around 302.

THE TENANTSIDE VIEW

A restructuring plan is a landlord-by-landlord referendum on rent, and the tenant holds the pen. Every landlord facing "accept less or nothing" is a live comparable for occupiers elsewhere in weak retail categories — real leverage to walk in with.

SOURCE: BLOOMBERG · 1 JULY 2026

04 — Occupier Strategy · Prelet

PwC commits to 350,000 sq ft at Canary Wharf's One Eden.

Confirmed 2 July, ahead of a 2030 refurbishment of its Embankment Place HQ, after an "extensive review" of London sites — as we noted in today's Morning View.

THE TENANTSIDE VIEW

PwC didn't need to decide until 2030 — it bought optionality four years early, in the submarket its own clients are recommitting to. A genuine multi-year review, run well ahead of expiry, lets an occupier choose the best terms rather than whatever is left when the clock runs out.

SOURCE: CITY A.M. · 2 JULY 2026

05 — Rents · West End Offices

Great Portland Estates' new lettings are running up to 9% ahead of its own rent estimates.

Reported 2 July: GPE's Q1 lettings averaged 3.7% ahead of March's estimated rental value. At Hanover Square, a new 10-year lease landed roughly 65% above the expiring rent.

THE TENANTSIDE VIEW

When a landlord's own lettings beat its own valuers' estimates quarter after quarter, the market has moved faster than the comparables occupiers negotiate from. Get an up-to-date valuation before any West End lease event in the next 18 months, not during the negotiation.

SOURCE: PROPERTY WEEK · 2 JULY 2026

06 — Regional · Offices

DAC Beachcroft sets a record regional rent of £55 per sq ft to anchor Leeds' newest tower.

Confirmed late June: the firm takes two floors at 31 Wellington Street on a 15-year lease, a new high for the UK regions, ahead of Manchester and Birmingham.

THE TENANTSIDE VIEW

Record regional rents are set on buildings, not cities — this pays for specification and connectivity, not a postcode. Occupiers benchmarking against last year's average city rent will underprice what the best buildings now cost.

SOURCE: BE NEWS

07 — Economy · Services

UK services activity shrinks at its sharpest pace since 2023.

Released 3 July: the final Services PMI came in at 48.8 for June, a second straight month of contraction — the steepest since January 2023.

THE TENANTSIDE VIEW

Services occupy most of the office and flexible space this briefing covers — a sustained contraction is a leading indicator for space decisions, not a lagging one. It won't show in take-up data yet, but it should give occupiers pause before committing to expansion space on this year's hiring plan.

SOURCE: S&P GLOBAL / INVESTINGLIVE · 3 JULY 2026

08 — Economy · Manufacturing

Manufacturing output hits a 21-month high — but new orders are already fading.

Released 1 July: the final Manufacturing PMI hit 52.5, its fastest growth since 2024, driven by clients stockpiling ahead of disruption. New orders slowed to their weakest since December.

THE TENANTSIDE VIEW

Stockpiling-driven output is a rental-demand mirage: it fills warehouses now, empties order books later. A short-term surge argues for flexible space, not a 15-year big-box lease. Read the order book, not the output print, before committing to footprint.

SOURCE: S&P GLOBAL / INVESTINGLIVE · 1 JULY 2026

09 — Supply · West End Pipeline

A former Microsoft and Nokia HQ in Soho wins approval for a blue-chip rebuild.

Reported 4 July: Westminster approved Global Holdings' plan for 42,000 sq ft of Grade A space at the former Microsoft and Nokia HQ, completing H1 2028.

THE TENANTSIDE VIEW

Every approved refurbishment is a future alternative for an occupier told nothing suitable is available. A 2028 completion is a genuine option for anyone with a lease expiry in that window — citing it tests a landlord's pricing line now.

SOURCE: PROPERTY WEEK · 4 JULY 2026

10 — M&A · Ownership Churn

Foreign bids for UK companies hit $231bn this year — up 210%.

Reported 5 July: overseas buyers now account for 86% of all UK M&A by value, up from 75% a year ago, on the way to a record dealmaking year.

THE TENANTSIDE VIEW

Every one of these deals eventually becomes a property decision — a new owner reviewing headcount, headquarters and leases within its first year. Know your lease's change-of-control provisions cold, because someone else's takeover can still trigger consequences in a lease that was never yours to negotiate.

SOURCE: REUTERS VIA CYPRUS MAIL · 5 JULY 2026

The Occupier View, in your inbox at 07:15.

Ten stories each weekday morning — rents, rates, deals and the business moves that shift occupational costs — read through the tenant's lens. Sister publication to Band Capital's Morning View.

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THE OCCUPIER VIEW IS PUBLISHED BY TENANTSIDE, A BAND CAPITAL PLATFORM, FOR GENERAL INFORMATION ONLY. IT IS NOT INVESTMENT, LEGAL OR PROPERTY ADVICE, A FINANCIAL PROMOTION, OR A RECOMMENDATION TO ENTER OR EXIT ANY TRANSACTION. VIEWS EXPRESSED ARE THOSE OF THE FIRM AT THE DATE OF PUBLICATION AND MAY CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE. RECIPIENTS SHOULD TAKE THEIR OWN PROFESSIONAL ADVICE.